Middle East · resolved market
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638051302276b32a6390605cc91ba3b4403584f9aefd078595498abfa9613cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9c2…2b38backed No | 65c | 32,735$21,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…f081backed Yes | 35c | 32,735$11,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,457.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 36c | 20,790$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,451.3 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 64c | 12,220$7,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.7 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 61c | 8,015$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.54 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 5,615$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.18 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 66c | 5,508$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.35 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 60c | 5,418$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.8 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 55c | 5,093$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.41 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 35c | 4,815$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 44c | 4,242$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.56 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 4,178$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.19 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,034$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 60c | 3,890$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.27 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 78c | 3,823$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 72c | 3,186$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…a1eebacked No | 67c | 3,109$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 2,903$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.11 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 2,661$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,887$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,824$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 76c | 1,820$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 49c | 1,763$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aafbbacked No | 66c | 1,760$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 30c | 1,752$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.03 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 38c | 1,572$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 37c | 1,544$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 31c | 1,529$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 50c | 1,476$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.77 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 44c | 1,361$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.19 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked No | 79c | 1,264$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 53c | 1,247$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 23c | 1,213$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 31c | 1,177$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 35c | 1,169$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.54 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 42c | 1,091$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…8e90backed Yes | 26c | 1,033$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 63c | 1,024$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,023$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 37c | 1,007$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.33 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,005$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…2e5abacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 53c | 933.59$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 30c | 915$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yes | 59c | 851.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…8180backed Yes | 40c | 844.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 15c | 824.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed Yes | 40c | 801.25$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…6c2fbacked Yes | 38c | 796.65$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…f752backed Yes | 22c | 735.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…0d1bbacked Yes | 30c | 727$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 30c | 714.41$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 74c | 676.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 73c | 672.06$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…f16bbacked Yes | 30c | 670.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 38c | 663.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 30c | 642.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked No | 74c | 639.09$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed No | 79c | 621.8$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 59c | 621.36$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 11c | 620.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…776bbacked Yes | 49c | 614.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 72c | 569.48$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…616dbacked No | 77c | 519.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…d84bbacked No | 78c | 498.15$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 38c | 494.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fea…2722backed No | 71c | 471.18$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 63c | 464$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 14c | 455.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 72c | 449.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 31c | 445.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 45c | 443.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 65c | 443$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 72c | 439.46$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 36c | 420.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 420.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 77c | 397.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…071cbacked No | 68c | 390.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked No | 65c | 385.02$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…5c11backed No | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…1493backed Yes | 26c | 383.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked No | 80c | 373.56$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…5f54backed No | 75c | 362.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 76c | 346.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…39bebacked No | 61c | 342.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…eacbbacked No | 68c | 340$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed No | 65c | 337.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 336.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 41c | 331.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed No | 76c | 330.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…7d23backed No | 62c | 325.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 51c | 324.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…9622backed No | 78c | 315.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed Yes | 46c | 313.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.