TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,628,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,710,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,628,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 978 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Oilers51c264,840$134,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,718.438749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers49c162,000$79,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,484.4326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Oilers51c156,174$79,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,565.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Oilers51c151,823$78,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,118.5510745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,00014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Panthers48c61,895$29,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,336.256137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Oilers52c55,943$28,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,830.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0834…2a7ebacked Panthers50c52,609$26,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,202.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec7…f646backed Oilers52c41,820$21,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,728.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers46c40,688$18,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,971.6216645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers48c40,000$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Panthers49c33,888$16,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,282.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers48c29,325$14,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,248.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Panthers49c29,000$14,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,8902339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers48c28,123$13,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,655.0913754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…37f6backed Oilers51c22,254$11,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,349.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Panthers50c22,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f24…05efbacked Oilers55c20,456$11,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2511838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.985164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…971dbacked Oilers51c18,602$9,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,487.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers67c17,169$11,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.316764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Oilers51c16,531$8,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,458.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Oilers44c14,868$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,582.554641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers66c14,713$9,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,934.51,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers52c13,795$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,225.6917448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers51c12,665$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.9875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers48c12,060$5,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.5392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers45c11,996$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,603.966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Panthers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0006448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20011354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30024457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers46c10,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf953…156cbacked Oilers52c9,404$4,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,889.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers49c9,290$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,697.911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Panthers49c7,820$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.27361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Oilers25c7,302$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.332339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers52c6,666$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.325147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Oilers29c6,511$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1047…763abacked Oilers53c6,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Oilers52c5,328$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.746642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers49c5,132$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Oilers52c5,063$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,63312462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Oilers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2743backed Oilers35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers49c4,957$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.531,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Oilers51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Panthers66c4,696$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.791850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc642…565ebacked Oilers41c4,289$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.961717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Panthers47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.321662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers50c4,200$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.0731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…8e7ebacked Oilers52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Oilers51c3,700$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Oilers50c3,563$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.9125340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Panthers70c3,556$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.324151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Panthers64c3,389$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Panthers58c3,262$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.167163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Oilers35c3,203$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.491947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers51c3,174$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.423,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Panthers49c3,151$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Panthers48c3,138$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511a…cd46backed Oilers48c3,131$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.192050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers38c3,122$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.142,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers51c3,074$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.4158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4eb4…bc50backed Oilers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d15…c1c2backed Oilers26c3,000$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Panthers49c2,989$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.2912941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Panthers49c2,844$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.923354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers48c2,783$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.0937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Oilers47c2,658$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Panthers47c2,600$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8f…bcebbacked Oilers52c2,585$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Panthers47c2,572$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers44c2,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0959942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a00…8734backed Oilers38c2,449$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.35825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5431…d00fbacked Panthers50c2,233$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Oilers52c2,092$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Panthers49c2,071$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.4316447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…99babacked Oilers53c2,052$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Panthers49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.9142751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Oilers54c2,039$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.881952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Panthers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Panthers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0205858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71a3…93babacked Oilers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers49c1,941$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9130549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Oilers50c1,858$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+106.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Oilers54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Panthers47c1,805$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Oilers51c1,741$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Panthers48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed7f…4fc0backed Oilers57c1,650$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e2…36b0backed Oilers29c1,647$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4782917.2%5 W · 24 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Panthers46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Oilers51c1,580$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Oilers55c1,541$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.332853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Panthers49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3560…8494backed Panthers50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.