TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,320,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,355,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,320,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04fc…b9b1backed No72c99,466$71,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,141.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No55c76,292$42,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,059.3363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No74c73,429$54,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,487.667327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07ca…a694backed No67c68,671$45,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,970.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No46c67,700$31,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,209.3137745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed No42c53,148$22,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,392.2322216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes26c51,178$13,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,896.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+92.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b87…d95cbacked No46c50,900$23,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,647.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…4fb9backed No77c42,716$32,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,684.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Yes26c40,036$10,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,601.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+283.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes26c33,927$8,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,943.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed No27c32,310$8,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,611.0512824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed2…3cf4backed Yes23c21,553$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,566.35742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No13c21,285$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.731333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d8…bad0backed No2c20,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes30c19,352$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,514.3425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed No60c18,540$11,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,180.872470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Yes28c17,465$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,561.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bd…4845backed No77c17,456$13,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,423.841181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd02…aba7backed No73c17,191$12,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,562.036124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes34c16,189$5,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,692.533240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No21c15,504$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.1925824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…3c88backed No50c15,000$7,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,516.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900a…cfa7backed Yes20c11,177$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,971.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+153.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb7…6ff7backed Yes27c11,005$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000d…758ebacked Yes79c10,795$8,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.66825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No18c10,529$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.21659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c58…01aebacked Yes34c9,983$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,554.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…e203backed Yes31c9,836$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,813.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed No72c9,617$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fe5…0309backed No12c9,373$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5548…2a59backed No31c8,608$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.4120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No19c8,319$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.8918425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes36c8,208$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.037328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No52c7,793$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.824759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes24c7,576$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,758.021533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes20c7,496$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,996.87619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Yes51c7,423$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.892941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1809…4eb7backed Yes20c7,354$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,918.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b03…763bbacked Yes32c7,098$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,818.971070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06b…4faebacked Yes18c6,994$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+297.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes27c6,873$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No57c6,413$3,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.821580%12 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked No80c6,300$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.61560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No41c6,046$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.416761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd6a…58a5backed No78c6,014$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cea…cda8backed No48c6,007$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes31c5,924$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.241921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85bc…25b8backed No64c5,290$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd7…eb50backed No72c5,279$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes67c5,021$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.811717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked No8c5,000$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.72933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc24…eec1backed No78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d4…bff4backed Yes20c4,833$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+153.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No23c4,641$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes53c4,364$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a44…97babacked No26c4,248$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…e61bbacked No9c4,144$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bb…fa5dbacked No73c4,050$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.041070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No7c4,016$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd48…2637backed Yes26c3,843$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff3…a136backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e1…7d89backed Yes56c3,628$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…f962backed Yes31c3,259$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.671442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes30c3,258$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09aa…d10fbacked Yes16c3,206$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.211315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c01…67f8backed Yes49c3,145$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd76e…6083backed Yes16c3,099$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+211.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97d…a3d5backed Yes64c2,961$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63aa…a9ccbacked No69c2,926$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.151485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73cb…02ccbacked Yes27c2,906$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…6387backed Yes21c2,891$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f3…4622backed Yes17c2,872$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+474.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes57c2,638$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.921136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c18…49efbacked Yes43c2,475$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.511637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes25c2,466$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.222425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes74c2,455$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…9767backed Yes25c2,423$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.082528%7 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c2b…de3abacked No64c2,400$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5373259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c21…e775backed Yes21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes15c2,130$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.355735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes15c2,066$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.684231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes56c2,065$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…adc0backed Yes51c1,940$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…38acbacked No26c1,933$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No11c1,902$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.791,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…30babacked No70c1,866$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.32060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes27c1,860$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.921030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes17c1,823$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.171643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b05…6180backed Yes62c1,779$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed No71c1,763$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.332711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Yes37c1,748$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No49c1,747$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.063423.5%8 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…573abacked Yes57c1,734$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12da…d12dbacked No47c1,727$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ab…2bb5backed Yes17c1,682$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.91633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+109.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189d…5f66backed Yes54c1,663$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes51c1,642$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.5934848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No7c1,631$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.19054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.