MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8341ca2e8ed36de3fa32653f088f3c8138402ca269ddfd5b5c79e7b62d507d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Marlins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,308,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,330,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,308,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 40c | 909,570$364,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364,611.1 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Marlins | 39c | 215,994$83,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,176.22 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 62c | 175,782$108,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,797.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Phillies | 58c | 141,443$82,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,406.06 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 60c | 122,590$73,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,060.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 59c | 90,000$53,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,950 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 60c | 80,000$47,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 60c | 65,610$39,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,323.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 62c | 60,000$36,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 61c | 53,987$32,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,003.99 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 59c | 51,554$30,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,286.02 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 61c | 51,400$31,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,046 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Phillies | 61c | 50,005$30,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,502 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Phillies | 61c | 42,050$25,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,229.1 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Phillies | 63c | 31,746$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 52c | 23,368$12,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,139.65 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 68c | 15,062$10,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.72 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Phillies | 63c | 13,493$8,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.41 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 59c | 12,936$7,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 58c | 12,741$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.45 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Phillies | 62c | 11,111$6,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.74 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 63c | 11,046$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.91 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 58c | 9,700$5,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 62c | 9,205$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.9 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Marlins | 42c | 9,059$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.6 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 61c | 8,990$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…817abacked Phillies | 60c | 8,327$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 47c | 7,542$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…ed60backed Marlins | 41c | 7,327$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 60c | 4,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Marlins | 2c | 3,353$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 67c | 3,204$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 43c | 3,199$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 72c | 3,173$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Phillies | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Marlins | 56c | 2,490$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 46c | 2,389$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,032$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.95 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,648$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.62 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 41c | 1,600$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.89 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 36c | 1,389$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,325$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.75 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Marlins | 23c | 1,236$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies | 65c | 1,123$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.02 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,031$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…bf5cbacked Marlins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…e270backed Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 61c | 999.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Phillies | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…ae98backed Phillies | 64c | 984.38$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Marlins | 37c | 888.67$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…3bd6backed Phillies | 63c | 746.03$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 4c | 652.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 59c | 625$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 55c | 623.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marlins | 32c | 612.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 41c | 610.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 63c | 595.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 52c | 544.58$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.18 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Marlins | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 19c | 536.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bc60backed Marlins | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 38c | 526.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Phillies | 61c | 520$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 16c | 514.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Marlins | 39c | 475.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 5c | 434.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Phillies | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Marlins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Marlins | 48c | 393.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…f541backed Marlins | 38c | 363.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d3…3d25backed Marlins | 38c | 363.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 67c | 360.22$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Marlins | 13c | 336.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 63c | 316.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Marlins | 23c | 281.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 60c | 275.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Marlins | 40c | 274.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Phillies | 58c | 271.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 74c | 271$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 50c | 262$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 9c | 250.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 20c | 250.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.