TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,572,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,361,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,572,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes0c161,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452d…2804backed Yes0c107,020$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a98…d27ebacked Yes0c100,140$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…3520backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8663…35e7backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Yes0c98,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ac…cd20backed Yes0c91,930$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…bd37backed Yes0c87,660$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df0…7791backed Yes0c76,000$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de9…3171backed Yes0c69,434$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4030…933dbacked Yes0c53,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…46d4backed Yes0c52,740$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351f…1761backed Yes0c44,233$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…5610backed Yes0c44,139$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0161…1839backed Yes0c39,710$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b3…77e5backed Yes0c39,142$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a99…1137backed Yes0c30,333$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…2d05backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92b…64cfbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf238…36cdbacked Yes0c29,687$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4416…fdfdbacked Yes0c29,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fdd…b061backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88b…c56bbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc158…54d0backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…92ebbacked Yes0c24,209$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e3…f15ebacked Yes0c22,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2c…6bcdbacked Yes0c22,370$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98de…d0f7backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6c…33ebbacked Yes0c19,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd111…fbc2backed Yes0c19,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04df…642ebacked Yes0c18,717$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes0c18,250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725c…01a1backed Yes0c16,960$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed3…bfb4backed Yes1c14,670$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d2…ea7bbacked Yes0c14,450$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…5fc1backed Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c11,700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.62170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes0c11,615$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7166…f0adbacked Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729f…b5f8backed Yes0c10,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c08…752fbacked Yes1c10,321$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca6…86a8backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4985…fd44backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd94…8ac0backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5e…c7f2backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf893…5a1cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1091…a259backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6caa…6d57backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…f9bebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…642fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41b…4ca7backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cee…72a1backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e8…67cdbacked Yes0c9,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a5…7280backed Yes0c8,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd650…f6eebacked Yes0c7,667$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135c…85e8backed Yes0c7,333$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…ae93backed Yes0c7,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277f…ed32backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde10…d45bbacked Yes0c6,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21dd…c1b4backed Yes0c5,935$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a05…27cdbacked Yes0c5,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ca…9d40backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab5…034cbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf451…bcf1backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644e…e48ebacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed36…f7e3backed Yes0c4,667$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f2…5125backed Yes0c4,324$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ef…0222backed Yes0c3,997$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae5b…25cabacked Yes0c3,760$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Yes30c3,400$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes0c3,188$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…18d0backed Yes0c3,113$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No78c3,009$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc6…b817backed Yes21c2,204$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x138d…635cbacked No73c2,158$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cb…ec13backed No80c2,000$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes36c1,914$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45b…627bbacked Yes37c1,603$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes2c1,565$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.08616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes19c1,564$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes8c1,286$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.86933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes22c1,028$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No61c1,000$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes20c962.5$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked No62c692.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfb…e789backed No78c637.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cb…68aabacked Yes2c630.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed No66c601.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1d…261abacked Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05a…e177backed Yes29c594.88$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0303…fcd1backed Yes15c573.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5925…36b2backed Yes20c492.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes24c420.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No63c401.05$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.