TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,535$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7319…0299backed Yes11c2,953$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c2,651$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138d…635cbacked Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes1c2,320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes4c2,022$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.46933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes9c2,022$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…a1fabacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes10c1,411$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d8…437dbacked Yes10c1,340$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes16c1,266$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.721225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d5…bff2backed Yes17c1,219$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf893…5a1cbacked Yes9c1,104$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes7c1,030$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No79c1,000$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…7863backed Yes28c910.11$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes11c870.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.733531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…95f6backed Yes8c806.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3609…95adbacked Yes16c761.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes14c705.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes12c699.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes16c683.2$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes18c560.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2b…6c15backed Yes18c489.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9923…0b84backed Yes20c468.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b94…1c4bbacked Yes22c436.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No68c411.61$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8151…0792backed Yes18c395.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f9…ad42backed Yes10c392.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes11c390.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.782524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x709d…ccf3backed Yes11c387.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397b…9c01backed Yes19c378.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf950…81d1backed Yes12c371.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.55633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5925…36b2backed Yes5c371$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c324.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.979839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x267c…9b16backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6596…f333backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…bf39backed Yes10c293.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee3…53bbbacked Yes22c290.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes16c289.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5912…6c5fbacked Yes11c279$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1af…5a22backed Yes19c263.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a7…8911backed Yes12c258.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7870…0d10backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e6…d30abacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked Yes14c240$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc04c…c76dbacked Yes9c230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247d…7d27backed Yes18c227.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes10c210.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50c…0b7cbacked Yes13c207.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f1…c461backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Yes20c195.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…ca64backed Yes10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f6…8812backed Yes17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd898…032bbacked Yes14c170$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2def…651dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes11c158.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…c2ebbacked Yes17c145.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830a…6bc7backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a43…2f2abacked Yes13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes23c136.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…a350backed No74c136.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No80c135.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3830…8c68backed Yes11c133.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ba…f903backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4083…363fbacked Yes9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70cf…66a9backed Yes17c115.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c6…ae20backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…2ca7backed Yes19c107.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb48…e5cbbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…9d26backed Yes17c105.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Yes22c102.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6608…4d0cbacked Yes14c100.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411d…bf7abacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…b74fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes22c98.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c8…0747backed Yes10c96.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772e…a7eebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed Yes16c86.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…32e3backed Yes31c81.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8360…9518backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd15b…ce17backed Yes25c66.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x268b…024fbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c8…7251backed Yes20c60.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd24…9a71backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f86…5f22backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.