Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3116b6a888573a7d7b35c028fb989bb6f9284222d2fec56ce1b2180a34b8fab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,649,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,797,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,649,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 67c | 628,183$417,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417,980 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…a747backed No | 38c | 525,724$199,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326,044.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 62c | 400,000$248,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,000 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 183,517$58,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,338.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 39c | 169,487$65,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,526.13 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 139,025$59,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,303.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 118,433$43,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,153.68 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 38c | 100,240$37,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,637.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 39c | 98,967$38,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,369.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 61c | 82,985$50,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,847.19 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 38c | 75,496$28,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,862.74 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 70,274$44,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,113.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 65,709$25,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,082.29 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 37c | 65,666$24,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,491.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 62c | 60,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,199.94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 38c | 51,189$19,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,746.8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 61c | 46,905$28,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,612.05 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 38c | 46,666$17,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,932.89 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed No | 36c | 44,306$16,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,155.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 40,884$8,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,601.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,884.37 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 61c | 39,472$24,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,114.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 62c | 37,507$23,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,128.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 62c | 33,307$20,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,650.38 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 27,032$16,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,888.83 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 48c | 26,786$12,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,928.64 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 46c | 26,000$12,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,059.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 62c | 25,410$15,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,864.19 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 39c | 24,254$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,795 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 23,812$8,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,940.36 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…3c17backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed No | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 38c | 18,847$7,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 38c | 18,467$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470.25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 37c | 16,940$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,679.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 38c | 16,239$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,130.59 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 37c | 16,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 15,891$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.58 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 64c | 15,733$10,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,068.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 48c | 15,723$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.07 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 36c | 15,700$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,048 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 37c | 14,990$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,493.73 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 36c | 14,960$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,574.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 52c | 12,906$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.3 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 62c | 12,904$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.53 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 39c | 12,004$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 11,867$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 62c | 11,729$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…236cbacked No | 38c | 11,312$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked Yes | 50c | 11,196$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 36c | 11,000$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 38c | 10,555$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.01 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 39c | 10,554$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,437.93 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…f0b7backed No | 47c | 10,315$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 61c | 9,999$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 62c | 9,900$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 9,783$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.15 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Yes | 62c | 9,627$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 37c | 9,480$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.4 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 39c | 8,400$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 38c | 8,385$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 37c | 8,065$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.92 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 51c | 7,496$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.28 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 43c | 7,416$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…5e0abacked Yes | 61c | 7,321$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 37c | 6,935$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…27a6backed Yes | 61c | 6,927$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 38c | 6,335$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.54 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 37c | 6,310$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…2eccbacked Yes | 63c | 6,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 37c | 6,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.79 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 41c | 5,290$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 55c | 5,206$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.12 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 58c | 5,097$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.15 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 38c | 5,022$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 61c | 4,963$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.35 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 38c | 4,889$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.06 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…ddc2backed Yes | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 39c | 4,675$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.52 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 49c | 4,660$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.56 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…451ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,591$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.98 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 4,386$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.68 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 62c | 4,306$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 49c | 4,289$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 64c | 4,057$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.48 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071b…b44cbacked Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.