Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10d3901187198b4bf4fed0876027f9d04619dc44f15e89246a6fd80d87bd9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $979,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 15c | 40,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 17c | 30,931$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 16c | 30,252$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…f0b7backed Yes | 18c | 27,320$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 17c | 23,655$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 17c | 22,212$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.51 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…6c04backed Yes | 17c | 21,757$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 16c | 20,973$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.4 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 20c | 17,000$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.8 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 16c | 15,257$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.06 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 14,593$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 16c | 13,555$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 15c | 11,094$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.16 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 10,058$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 17c | 9,394$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.04 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 16c | 8,270$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.74 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 16c | 8,119$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.05 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 16c | 7,117$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,581$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0955…6d13backed Yes | 16c | 6,577$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 16c | 6,321$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…4123backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…5952backed Yes | 17c | 5,541$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…15eebacked Yes | 16c | 5,165$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,050$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d875backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,950$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 16c | 4,760$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.58 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…e5d7backed Yes | 16c | 4,420$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 16c | 4,188$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 19c | 4,036$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.48 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Yes | 16c | 4,026$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 3,480$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 16c | 3,436$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.8 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,400$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 15c | 3,275$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.24 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…50f0backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 17c | 3,065$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892e…4e89backed Yes | 17c | 3,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 16c | 2,968$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,875$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 16c | 2,765$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.32 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…aa76backed Yes | 16c | 2,631$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Yes | 17c | 2,605$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…a8f2backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…e5e1backed Yes | 16c | 2,469$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,406$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…7cbabacked Yes | 17c | 2,346$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…33b6backed Yes | 17c | 2,304$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 17c | 2,218$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 17c | 2,112$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 16c | 2,074$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 7c | 2,056$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 2,035$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,917$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 1,914$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Yes | 17c | 1,900$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 17c | 1,790$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.1 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 16c | 1,625$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…bdbdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,598$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Yes | 17c | 1,567$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 16c | 1,541$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…f4bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 16c | 1,428$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Yes | 9c | 1,411$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 16c | 1,315$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 15c | 1,251$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,182$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,161$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…04f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,145$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,144$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6667…6c6cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,112$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,101$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…d292backed Yes | 17c | 1,088$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…4e9abacked Yes | 16c | 1,086$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Yes | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.