TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,826,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,817,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,826,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers73c247,819$180,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,660.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Lakers44c200,678$88,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,221.7354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers44c197,149$86,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,524.2823257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Clippers55c159,702$88,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,371.56841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers50c155,229$78,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,058.7251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers41c142,635$58,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,378.522,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers56c130,000$72,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,20059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers56c120,000$67,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,799.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Lakers12c108,695$13,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,003.6317646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Lakers41c89,308$36,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,897.281855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers54c75,862$40,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,081.736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Lakers17c58,920$10,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,24614533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers24c54,406$12,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,963.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers43c51,851$22,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,296.0859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers47c51,724$24,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,079.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Clippers58c49,898$28,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,129.189043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Lakers11c47,819$5,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.3839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Lakers45c47,740$21,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4831442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers23c45,685$10,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,617.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Lakers15c44,393$6,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,684.329938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers20c42,063$8,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,348.421,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Lakers4c41,672$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers19c38,033$7,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,256.291,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Clippers57c35,359$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,359.1244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers6c31,519$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers30c28,888$8,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,751.127251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Clippers56c28,500$15,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,54016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Lakers28c26,931$7,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,415.885444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Lakers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers78c23,973$18,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,191.471,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Clippers56c23,100$12,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,16492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Lakers36c22,819$8,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,290.5510952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Lakers29c22,465$6,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,480.5216042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers70c22,018$15,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Lakers21c21,749$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.889640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Lakers7c21,675$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.9827917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Lakers1c20,300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165523.6%13 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Clippers51c20,085$10,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,902.5910547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Clippers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.4835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers56c19,908$11,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Lakers45c19,492$8,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,741.3911251.8%58 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers51c19,456$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Lakers45c19,300$8,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,685.172466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Lakers45c18,800$8,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,46011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Lakers48c17,206$8,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,301.0112657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Clippers62c16,345$10,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,241.9818747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Clippers55c16,126$8,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.614751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Clippers57c16,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,88038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lakers14c15,871$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers12c15,801$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Clippers60c15,769$9,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.267062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers46c14,780$6,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,864.453,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Clippers50c14,397$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,265.4735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers24c12,393$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.982,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lakers24c12,236$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.3161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Clippers77c12,199$9,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.8739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers51c11,627$5,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.262,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Lakers44c11,500$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,06037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers50c11,110$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.9636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers47c11,000$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.9935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Lakers48c10,390$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.156253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers43c10,208$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,389.4428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Clippers57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc034…59fbbacked Lakers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers43c9,999$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.5714243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers43c9,780$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.416039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Lakers2c9,257$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8619033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers74c9,231$6,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers1c9,007$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.15213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers18c8,945$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.7550838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Clippers57c8,600$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.16259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Lakers45c8,473$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.816863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Lakers50c7,779$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,905.0110451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers56c7,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Clippers49c7,233$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.317441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Lakers49c7,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301a…72a8backed Clippers50c6,856$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Lakers50c6,843$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.3340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lakers48c6,823$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.5730947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers50c6,767$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Clippers51c6,764$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.296651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Clippers79c6,717$5,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19c…1e99backed Lakers42c6,267$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Lakers51c6,195$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.6215435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers50c6,077$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.481,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Lakers50c6,024$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.235630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Clippers50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Lakers50c5,928$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.942352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers49c5,900$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Lakers51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003076.7%23 W · 7 L+8.8wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Lakers36c5,625$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Clippers50c5,500$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.0548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Lakers28c5,335$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers43c5,150$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers23c5,000$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.