NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4730320760652d1f9c107ba2d50cf6a8ea64af0f477c29c00ee56e0b9ded11b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Over | 57c | 35,235$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 21,601$11,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584.26 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 18,250$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,402.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 13,213$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,423.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.83 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 5,412$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 2,981$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,296$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.28 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 8c | 999.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 819$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…85a2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 332$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…df45backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 188.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…818cbacked Over | 53c | 187.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 51c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b5…b26dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 96.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 55c | 91.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…c864backed Over | 15c | 73.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Over | 56c | 65.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 58.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…3873backed Over | 54c | 46.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 45.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 41.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 33.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 56c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…462fbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.