NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc3de400ae5e13800c8c4fd7302a9d62b74caacf37b6f5d82b95af06bfe8ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Clippers | 51c | 18,366$9,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.17 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 53c | 6,019$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.93 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 49c | 5,380$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Clippers | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 49c | 3,033$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 51c | 2,908$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Lakers | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Lakers | 54c | 1,100$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.32 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Clippers | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.19 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Lakers | 54c | 556.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 48c | 516.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 471.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 49c | 461.95$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Lakers | 5c | 414.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Clippers | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…043cbacked Clippers | 47c | 380.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 48c | 368.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.71 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Lakers | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 52c | 227.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…2fd2backed Clippers | 49c | 211.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 48c | 155.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 49c | 153.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Clippers | 53c | 150.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Lakers | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 36c | 132.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Clippers | 49c | 114.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Lakers | 51c | 112.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Clippers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Clippers | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Clippers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Lakers | 52c | 76.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Clippers | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Clippers | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Lakers | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 51c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 48c | 53.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Lakers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Clippers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Lakers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…8d7fbacked Lakers | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Clippers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Clippers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lakers | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…0ea7backed Lakers | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Clippers | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Clippers | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Clippers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Lakers | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers | 51c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Clippers | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Clippers | 49c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…1bfabacked Clippers | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Lakers | 49c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Clippers | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…6869backed Lakers | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Clippers | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…3d4abacked Lakers | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Clippers | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…9297backed Lakers | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.