TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers50c7,843$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.12,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers49c7,294$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.7959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Clippers49c5,891$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.296841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers50c5,144$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers50c4,550$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers67c3,671$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers65c3,382$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers47c3,204$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.1736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Clippers48c3,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Lakers32c2,979$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Clippers51c2,977$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.6143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Lakers40c2,505$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers51c2,271$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Lakers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers45c1,858$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Lakers47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7102015%3 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed Lakers30c1,100$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers52c994.24$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.813,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers53c951.76$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers46c905.55$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Lakers50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Lakers49c840.82$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers51c827.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Clippers50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35064139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Clippers50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32012843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked Clippers66c614.83$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.031850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30620754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Clippers43c580.91$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2818852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Lakers51c555.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Lakers13c531$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2144821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers75c516.66$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers34c486.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers51c465$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.571,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers58c453.18$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Lakers24c437.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5114254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers47c422$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Lakers45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Clippers73c383.93$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7521642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Clippers55c375.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1911048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Lakers44c375.58$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3222140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Clippers35c362$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1139018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Lakers56c357.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers59c265.7$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Lakers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…c431backed Clippers44c177.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db4…2f93backed Lakers13c159.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.332951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers49c155.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.872,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Clippers61c147.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers50c137.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.493,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Lakers35c134.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.017353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Clippers62c127.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2527144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers54c119.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.881,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers51c113.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0148451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…608cbacked Lakers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Clippers52c96.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1147349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Lakers48c91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4119350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers64c87.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers54c78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4249852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1304…cce4backed Clippers65c77.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.312470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Clippers52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9232450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Clippers54c75.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers56c70.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.642,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Clippers52c70.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.768542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers46c69.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Lakers57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Clippers65c63.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0819232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers57c59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.632,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15d…d581backed Clippers44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8210739.3%42 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Lakers52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Clippers44c52.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4417750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers49c52.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.652,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Clippers77c51.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.698158%47 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Lakers35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Clippers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Lakers51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers46c48.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Lakers49c45.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Lakers51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Lakers57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71ce…d90cbacked Lakers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+114.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.565950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lakers56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Lakers57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Lakers51c33.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110248%49 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Clippers52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Clippers53c30.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4938347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7513…e96fbacked Clippers74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Clippers56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110034%34 W · 66 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Lakers57c22.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Lakers57c21.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ab…963bbacked Clippers74c20.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.