TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c43,131$21,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,576.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c29,950$14,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,9751,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under52c17,930$9,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.5621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over48c15,449$7,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,415.0939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c9,200$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under50c5,346$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67312454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c4,520$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under50c4,420$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2101741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0b…97f5backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c2,958$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.6284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c2,930$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.2634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c2,686$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34333447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under50c2,010$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9510642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,787$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c1,445$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.713,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c1,355$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.342,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.052,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c937.58$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over51c861$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2319350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under50c714$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35717953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c700.02$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.372,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c580.86$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over33c438.9$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8422140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over50c427.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c416$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under50c407.1$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.556653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1844821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c369.57$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1414647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c302.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over28c280.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.111,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c219.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over45c219.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9736854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c156.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.041,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under68c135.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c126.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c117.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under57c96.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.841,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over46c87.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Under50c70.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.458744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7124363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9834849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c50.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9141354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aab…d612backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0232853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c47.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under76c46.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.057255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c45.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e323backed Over50c38.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2816852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over51c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.293240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d4…44b3backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under56c27.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Over48c24.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9311258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Over51c24.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.586355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over51c23.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6454854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2241048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over51c21.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.