NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7b14c8deb7be6fa6f52de8dcf172c0b42e12b54b6558c6d3dce1b10fd0b7c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 12,357$6,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,263.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 47c | 7,600$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.82 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Under | 48c | 5,794$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.75 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 55c | 5,444$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 4,792$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.67 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…97f5backed Over | 43c | 4,670$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 62c | 4,563$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.16 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 3,702$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 3,043$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,801$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Under | 53c | 2,555$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 2,123$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.75 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 2,020$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,867$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.85 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 57c | 1,837$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Over | 76c | 1,080$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.42 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.93 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 887.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 77c | 837.14$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.02 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 24c | 826.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.2 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 57c | 766.68$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.61 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 53c | 752.83$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Over | 22c | 604.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 37c | 472.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 72c | 385.43$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 44c | 358.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 61c | 319.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 49c | 291.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 177.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 94.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Under | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 76.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 47c | 67.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 57.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 45.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 45.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 43.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 51c | 31.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 74c | 25.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 68c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Under | 48c | 22.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…da08backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.