TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Bulls, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,978,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,059,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,978,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ae5…8342backed Bulls59c313,705$184,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184,923.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets47c137,319$64,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,825.941,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets41c119,264$49,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,211.2272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets42c60,055$25,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,607.681,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Hornets44c46,996$20,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,517.524544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls57c46,449$26,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,580.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Bulls56c46,368$25,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,902.284456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls57c41,621$23,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,818.682,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets45c40,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets54c39,548$21,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,093.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Bulls57c30,000$16,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,979.094742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Bulls57c19,787$11,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,261.483551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hornets43c19,787$8,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,204.3423245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hornets43c19,552$8,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,144.5619351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Bulls56c19,367$10,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,927.913759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls26c19,145$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls20c17,440$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.131,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bulls56c14,773$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,273.0811558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets42c14,512$6,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,463.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Hornets44c14,500$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,12021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Bulls57c14,500$8,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,26517861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls57c14,004$7,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,982.4937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets43c11,058$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,303.1674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets42c11,002$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ba…b4f1backed Bulls58c11,000$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,379.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls59c10,657$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.1734062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Bulls58c10,105$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5f…4a49backed Bulls0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets42c9,528$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls9c8,517$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls42c8,479$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets42c7,817$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.921,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets43c7,648$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.5155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls56c7,557$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,242.378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13d…424ebacked Hornets42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets41c6,939$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.0172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Hornets43c6,908$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.341435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hornets43c6,500$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7051,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Bulls61c6,423$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.021553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets43c5,929$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.392,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets43c5,466$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.6944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Bulls48c5,250$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…ccc8backed Bulls58c5,241$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Bulls66c5,160$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.015850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets57c5,139$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.8685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Hornets40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Hornets43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…8c1bbacked Bulls56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.971442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets45c4,816$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.9826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Bulls55c4,600$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53013743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Bulls58c4,515$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf1…1a87backed Hornets44c4,510$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.61080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Bulls58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Hornets41c4,180$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.0847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Bulls22c4,161$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.65911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Bulls57c4,118$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0630…d067backed Hornets45c4,064$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls61c4,059$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.5619136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls35c4,001$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.762,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca6…7f7cbacked Hornets45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…d461backed Bulls56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Bulls57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Bulls59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.897339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Hornets43c3,760$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.7710650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…1dccbacked Hornets45c3,713$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.332339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb461…76cfbacked Bulls56c3,713$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Bulls56c3,670$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05536943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Hornets57c3,668$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.757259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls58c3,600$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets41c3,600$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bulls56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls56c3,495$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.1959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets56c3,415$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls21c3,220$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.781,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls57c3,206$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.8844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hornets43c3,100$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc233…f731backed Bulls64c3,059$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Bulls56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6809141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets43c2,884$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.711,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Hornets40c2,873$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.5628850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b8e1backed Hornets42c2,857$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Hornets42c2,784$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.6435651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cc…0eddbacked Bulls61c2,587$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.07850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bc…7377backed Hornets39c2,587$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.07887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+92.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc2b…62b3backed Bulls61c2,577$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1953…25fcbacked Hornets39c2,577$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…2cf4backed Hornets39c2,506$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…eb59backed Bulls61c2,506$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bulls23c2,495$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57127041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Bulls60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4402740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Hornets37c2,400$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…41a3backed Bulls61c2,370$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…94d4backed Hornets39c2,370$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9748…16f1backed Bulls61c2,300$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.