NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60cb4a2d9ad3a9591fa8b8104e03520d31df335a66bac81741f263bfff9d105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 15,549$7,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 12,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 52c | 9,699$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.39 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,588$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.18 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 2,452$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,812$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 999.69$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 871.68$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 61c | 711$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 50c | 496.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 477$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 53c | 406.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Under | 54c | 403.7$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 50c | 327.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 305$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 51c | 213.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…6bffbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 46c | 181.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…e5aabacked Over | 52c | 147.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 108.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 39c | 91.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Under | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Under | 54c | 67.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 48c | 61.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 62c | 45.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…416dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Under | 59c | 33.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Under | 51c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…680ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…8487backed Over | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…b7a0backed Under | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 248.5this page
- Bulls vs. HornetsHornets won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.