Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79d78da1dd54db5426ba2b4dc879bcbc2484af74e51925f4a0ff8ff8d583212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 59c | 2,963$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.42 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7f…0440backed Under | 1c | 2,265$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,178$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.99 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 1,040$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.53 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 38c | 941$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.46 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 69c | 927.11$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 62c | 824.33$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.09 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 33c | 540.68$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed Over | 38c | 523.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 438.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.62 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Over | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 380.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 37c | 302$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 68c | 249$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 42c | 237.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 52c | 230.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 225.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Under | 59c | 204$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 28c | 165$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 61c | 101.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 91.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 38c | 78.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 62c | 66.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 38c | 54.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…6904backed Under | 50c | 49.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 38c | 47.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…d7bcbacked Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 44.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…4545backed Over | 41c | 34.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…e214backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.