NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa61c9b599232d07888c755c0ad7e47295d8562f4aaba9767999127e085e72325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,345,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,703,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,345,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Texans | 40c | 250,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,999.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Colts | 60c | 110,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans | 75c | 93,434$70,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,274.97 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Colts | 51c | 64,007$32,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,960.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Colts | 60c | 58,434$35,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,060.66 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colts | 10c | 56,282$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.71 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Colts | 62c | 51,127$31,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,874.16 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Colts | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Texans | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,499.79 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Colts | 60c | 49,055$29,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,433.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 49c | 45,626$22,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,226.92 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 58c | 45,252$26,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,125.45 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Texans | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Colts | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,249.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Colts | 62c | 39,839$24,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 60c | 39,219$23,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,537.74 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 28c | 38,322$10,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.25 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…4d3bbacked Colts | 53c | 35,981$19,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,054.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Colts | 61c | 35,500$21,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,655 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Colts | 61c | 33,101$20,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,191.51 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 61c | 31,416$19,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,165.09 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texans | 38c | 26,513$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,438.04 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 38c | 25,820$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,008.18 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Colts | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Colts | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Texans | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 38c | 24,407$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,132.41 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Colts | 60c | 20,121$11,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,989.07 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Colts | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Colts | 61c | 17,793$10,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,828.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Texans | 59c | 16,839$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 19c | 13,940$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.69 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colts | 22c | 13,483$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.84 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4e6ebacked Colts | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Texans | 56c | 12,604$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.89 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Texans | 37c | 12,349$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,779.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texans | 58c | 11,447$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.22 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Texans | 72c | 11,314$8,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Colts | 42c | 10,941$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Texans | 39c | 10,500$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Colts | 44c | 10,363$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…4f17backed Texans | 38c | 9,700$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 34c | 9,539$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.03 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texans | 69c | 9,513$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.2 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…f043backed Colts | 61c | 9,500$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Colts | 25c | 9,057$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 8c | 8,401$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…568bbacked Texans | 54c | 8,304$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Colts | 54c | 7,548$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.01 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 63c | 7,451$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.86 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…30b7backed Colts | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Texans | 66c | 6,769$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 47c | 6,630$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.37 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Colts | 39c | 6,438$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.09 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Texans | 38c | 6,208$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…0f3bbacked Colts | 61c | 5,948$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…2ee2backed Texans | 39c | 5,938$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 38c | 5,735$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.28 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colts | 4c | 5,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 284 | 51.8%147 W · 137 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 16c | 5,043$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.67 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Colts | 45c | 4,978$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.91 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…653bbacked Colts | 62c | 4,900$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…9aedbacked Colts | 63c | 4,800$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colts | 61c | 4,693$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Texans | 38c | 4,502$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 43c | 4,486$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.16 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Colts | 61c | 4,106$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Texans | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Texans | 40c | 3,850$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Colts | 61c | 3,700$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Texans | 40c | 3,700$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Colts | 63c | 3,629$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Texans | 61c | 3,377$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.78 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Colts | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Texans | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Colts | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Texans | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Texans | 35c | 3,009$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Texans | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…18a9backed Texans | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…f6d0backed Texans | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Texans | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Texans | 39c | 2,879$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.4 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…0789backed Colts | 61c | 2,850$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…6742backed Texans | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Texans | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Colts | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 39c | 2,777$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.64 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Texans | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Colts | 60c | 2,618$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.52 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Texans | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Texans | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Colts | 67c | 2,580$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Texans | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Colts | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texans | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Texans | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Coltsthis page
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Colts (-4.5)Texans won
- Texans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.