TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8071…b139

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$200.23
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Edin Džeko: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$72.33
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.7
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$61.37
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.54
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rocketsbacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedombacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$13.28
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kingsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Irelandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$42.16
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$31.82
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotlandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.88
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.