Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0576e6c13f652e47d5d93c2ddecaa89b52ca7f2626a1aa2a7a904334cfae84bc

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	72c	4,104$2,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,968.22	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes	25c	3,101$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,336.52	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No	75c	3,046$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,280.98	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	23c	2,015$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,548.4	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…f4d8backed Yes	11c	1,451$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	26cpaid	+336.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes	27c	1,097$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.13	87	27.6%24 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No	74c	1,055$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.78	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes	15c	1,025$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.33	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No	79c	1,023$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.85	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No	76c	1,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes	27c	750$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.15	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes	28c	711.64$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.38	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb5…d83abacked No	78c	563$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes	28c	535.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.71	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	72c	500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes	28c	428.57$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.57	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	22c	399.99$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.99	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	11c	394$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.66	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes	11c	388$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.32	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…2c9ebacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+8.7wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes	27c	300$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219	135	40%54 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	76c	300$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No	73c	293.85$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.51	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	36c	278.47$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.47	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	73c	258.05$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.38	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	55c	256.48$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.53	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x974b…7c8fbacked No	73c	250$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c1…7380backed Yes	26c	239.99$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	71c	185.81$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.92	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d4…fd99backed Yes	27c	179$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.67	104	18.3%19 W · 85 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	345	37.1%128 W · 217 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cb…c477backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.67	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	66c	164.7$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.89	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No	73c	159.56$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.47	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	76c	145.3$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.21	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	44c	143.19$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	23c	140.17$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.53	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Yes	36c	137.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.16	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	36c	132$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	73c	123$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.38	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.11	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes	27c	103.7$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.7	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	36c	95.7$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.49	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	27c	94$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.62	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…3783backed Yes	27c	92$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.16	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	27c	74.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.42	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…ab51backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes	19c	70$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.86	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	199	44.2%88 W · 111 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8071…b139backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	28c	56.61$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.76	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	73c	56.32$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.15	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes	27c	56.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.1	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5f…e751backed Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	28c	55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No	74c	53.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	27c	50.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed No	72c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	32c	46.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f6…025fbacked Yes	27c	43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.39	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes	27c	43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.39	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Yes	26c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	403	52.1%210 W · 193 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes	27c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.66	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Yes	24c	42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.92	255	49%125 W · 130 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes	27c	41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.93	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	72c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…5516backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	75c	39.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a30…9e38backed Yes	27c	38.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	79c	33.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed No	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	73cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No	76c	26.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…7695backed No	74c	21.62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	77c	21.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No	73c	21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	618	55.3%342 W · 276 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedf…a085backed No	78c	20.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	109	55%60 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked No	78c	20.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked No	68c	19.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event