Fifa International · resolved market
Enner Valencia: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffb1e0fb7e0ae385c028ca8661528ca3641f6698d2f80cc8cda3f73b396e2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,768$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.67 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 44c | 246.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked No | 43c | 195.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 58c | 59.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 46c | 51.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 40c | 27.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…10e3backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…1646backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…2c0bbacked Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Enner Valencia: 2+ shotsthis page
- Alexis Vega: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 3+ shotsNo won
- Guillermo Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ assistsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.