Enner Valencia: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17fe912162bafa7300e8d179285e80dbb386cee5077008b7440705aff140c80

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf271…acf2backed Yes	13c	3,038$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	87	27.6%24 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes	70c	2,381$1,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664.94	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3a…c9d1backed Yes	1c	1,302$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	18c	747.8$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.26	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	19c	706.51$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.71	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Yes	20c	658.05$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.61	50	74%37 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes	18c	553.67$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	16c	536.5$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.66	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	73c	462$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.03	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed Yes	19c	411.63$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.21	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	16c	375.06$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.05	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Yes	20c	252.66$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.58	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	79c	250$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	17c	228.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	56c	226$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.54	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c1…7380backed Yes	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes	19c	168.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	54c	161.94$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	77c	136$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.84	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	78c	132$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	20c	122.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	133	28.6%38 W · 95 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	20c	80$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes	19c	65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes	18c	59.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	199	44.2%88 W · 111 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	79c	52.73$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Enner Valencia: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event