Fifa International · resolved market
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26cf738ea1d2927ec0d65c04738c82147f4470efc02f18fecf7315806689bda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 2,716$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.54 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 2,266$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.03 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,403$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,156$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…8b07backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 79c | 256.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Yes | 24c | 195.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 78c | 161.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 15c | 152.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…7d3abacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…f68fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…3886backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…8986backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8071…b139backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 64.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…72f4backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7c…153cbacked Yes | 22c | 51.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bamba Dieng: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shotsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shotsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shotsNo won
- Edouard Mendy: 2+ savesNo won
- Edouard Mendy: 3+ savesNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shotsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shotsYes won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shotsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ shotsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.