TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes3c11,005$373 inLost-$372.6645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes4c5,437$200 inLost-$20037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes4c4,769$187 inLost-$186.6610819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes4c3,169$127 inLost-$126.7514428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes2c3,000$71 inLost-$7111638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes4c1,251$50 inLost-$5016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…718abacked Yes1c1,150$10 inLost-$10.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes4c1,087$40 inLost-$406927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes6c940.37$60 inLost-$606219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes4c895.07$40 inLost-$4020630.6%63 W · 143 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c861.2$38 inLost-$37.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes4c761.74$30 inLost-$303189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd771…90a3backed Yes6c663.2$40 inLost-$4010248%49 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes3c644.24$20 inLost-$2028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Yes4c512.82$20 inLost-$202213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes4c500$19 inLost-$19458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes13c349.09$46 inLost-$46.0814239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…2c32backed Yes4c250.88$10 inLost-$108942.7%38 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99cc…d826backed Yes8c240$20 inLost-$204030%12 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…130fbacked Yes7c210$14 inLost-$14.31921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes17c99.65$17 inLost-$16.65326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe834…72a4backed Yes13c90.91$12 inLost-$122227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.