Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd95d33d01c0d032d5887035049b1ff3a36f2182fafc1ef714eab39bcff41d355

Rebuilt 53 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes	10c	4,364$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.55	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	22c	3,182$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	78c	2,666$2,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.53	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	78c	2,549$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.34	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes	25c	2,506$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.82	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	21c	2,376$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	77c	1,873$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.7	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	1,618$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	78c	1,549$1,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.02	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	74c	1,460$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.64	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	80c	1,390$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	14c	1,108$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.66	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	77c	573.9$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	79c	526$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.46	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes	9c	500$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…17c0backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	23cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d30…b016backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	20c	396.69$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked Yes	24c	395.75$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.56	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	19c	393.22$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.3	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	80c	332.98$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.21	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes	21c	323.38$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.91	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0769…c7ecbacked No	80c	262.5$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	78c	254.47$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.23	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	23c	240$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes	23c	239.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	230	22.6%52 W · 178 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes	21c	239$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	77c	220.32$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.67	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	15c	201.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	22c	197.37$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe76…8bb7backed Yes	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes	25c	140$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes	23c	129.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	72c	127.29$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…d5f0backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes	22c	115.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	78c	113$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.49	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	158	53.2%84 W · 74 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes	22c	93.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe270…6bdbbacked Yes	23c	89.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes	14c	88.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes	22c	76.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+112.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	22c	75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	131	40.5%53 W · 78 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	80c	70$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	168	39.9%67 W · 101 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x065a…4147backed Yes	23c	61.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	79c	55.26$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No	77c	55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	79c	53.25$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.41	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d98fbacked Yes	21c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed9…130fbacked Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed No	80c	35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed No	78c	34.09$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3009…be46backed Yes	54c	30.62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…376fbacked No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsthis page
Bamba Dieng: 3+ goalsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goalsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shotsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shotsNo won
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shotsNo won
Edouard Mendy: 2+ savesNo won
Edouard Mendy: 3+ savesNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goalsNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shotsNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shotsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goalsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shotsYes won
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shotsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shotsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shotsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ shotsYes won
Sadio Mané: 2+ assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event