Fifa International · resolved market
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee660d89b4f789c874a36769c0455844d0aaecdc62fb687aa56c8d3aa9f20887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 71c | 4,850$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.13 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,408$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 71c | 1,385$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.27 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 1,104$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.17 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 64c | 1,006$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.16 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 73c | 1,000$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.6 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 31c | 880$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.26 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 27c | 791.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.49 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 27c | 488.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 386.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 350$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…b165backed Yes | 24c | 339.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…d26abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 12c | 277$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 73c | 275$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 68c | 216.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 21c | 199.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd6…52b6backed Yes | 28c | 178.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…0fe8backed Yes | 31c | 163.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…0d5dbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 156.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed No | 68c | 126.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes | 22c | 111.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 73c | 109.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…c7edbacked Yes | 32c | 103.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 71c | 97.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 32c | 77.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 26c | 76.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 70.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…5516backed Yes | 29c | 69.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 74c | 67.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…ab51backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…eed7backed Yes | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 27c | 56.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 77c | 54.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…866abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…e650backed Yes | 38c | 52.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 77c | 52.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…049cbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…9ca7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…53b3backed Yes | 39c | 37.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…55e8backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 34.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 70c | 33.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 79c | 28.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 75c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bamba Dieng: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shotsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shotsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shotsNo won
- Edouard Mendy: 2+ savesNo won
- Edouard Mendy: 3+ savesNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shotsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shotsYes won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shotsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ shotsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.