Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5c131c0b4da7d8a1fb3f2f79c7def2e9be3bc072f042de14e250bfbb774d36

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No	79c	4,984$3,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No	79c	3,500$2,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.99	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	22c	3,060$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	78c	2,490$1,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.28	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	22c	2,461$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.88	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	79c	1,480$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.06	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked Yes	21c	1,425$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.23	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5177…7715backed Yes	1c	1,043$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Yes	22c	871.8$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No	78c	600$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	22c	547.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.4	315	54.6%172 W · 143 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	78c	536.78$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.74	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d30…b016backed Yes	21c	467.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	78c	459.09$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes	23c	436.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes	22c	427.44$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.04	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	20c	399.98$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	80c	399.98$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	20c	377$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.78	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes	22c	363.48$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	110	27.3%30 W · 80 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	79c	350.64$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.25	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4486…6577backed Yes	30c	335.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No	79c	330.14$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.97	82	64.6%53 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes	23c	326.09$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…d335backed Yes	21c	306.92$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	79c	281.56$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.31	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	80c	272.26$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	143	17.5%25 W · 118 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	77c	252.76$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.14	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	73c	235.36$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.34	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f5e…9266backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	24cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	17c	176$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5996…d1b9backed Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2716…a6f4backed Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked No	80c	139.45$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.89	74	68.9%51 W · 23 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cba…351cbacked No	80c	132.83$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+5.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb08…f30bbacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes	21c	117.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f94…7f4bbacked Yes	16c	110$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked No	78c	104.68$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	23c	104.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	23c	101.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	224	47.3%106 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes	22c	77.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ba…ec11backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Yes	22c	54.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked No	28c	54.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.88	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cbd…42f3backed Yes	22c	51.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba39…b4b6backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	64cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No	78c	26.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No	78c	25.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.68	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	79c	21.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.59	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	78c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.3	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked No	78c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.3	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked No	79c	13.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.94	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsthis page
Bamba Dieng: 3+ goalsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsNo won
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goalsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shotsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shotsNo won
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shotsNo won
Edouard Mendy: 2+ savesNo won
Edouard Mendy: 3+ savesNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goalsNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shotsNo won
Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shotsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goalsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shotsYes won
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shotsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shotsNo won
Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsNo won
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shotsNo won
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
Sadio Mané: 1+ shotsYes won
Sadio Mané: 2+ assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event