TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No54c615.39$330 inWon+$285.0337350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No55c337.27$186 inWon+$151.472,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes47c295.4$140 inLost-$1406136.1%22 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd86a…89c7backed Yes46c273.85$126 inLost-$125.974959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes45c250$112 inLost-$111.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Yes42c120$50 inLost-$50.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No55c116.35$64 inWon+$52.2917054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Yes50c66$33 inLost-$335042%21 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes42c57.14$24 inLost-$2416262.3%101 W · 61 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No59c32.96$19 inWon+$13.4778559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes49c32.08$16 inLost-$15.625536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked Yes45c22.53$10 inLost-$10.148858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No58c20.68$12 inWon+$8.6918053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked No50c20$10 inWon+$1021051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.