TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c8,099$6,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,224.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.8321442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes22c4,000$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.3811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No76c3,769$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.3636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…a199backed Yes17c2,870$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No77c2,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.939767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c1,633$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.182,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes16c1,523$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.416317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes22c1,489$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.3627820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.354522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No77c1,280$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.574057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes25c1,224$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.6314428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c1,048$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes19c1,037$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.911642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No75c999.99$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No78c999.98$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9930214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c976.76$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.172,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.333189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c736.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes22c681.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8237223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No23c638$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.491,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No51c565.11$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.852,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No8c550.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No75c546.18$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6412875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40527254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes23c482.61$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.616040%24 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb711…1a27backed Yes20c461.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.692416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7830321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3486836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Yes24c395.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.292213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6210542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No78c380.62$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8923240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4751…c559backed Yes27c373.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.754845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes25c360$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes17c350$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2891,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f1b…6399backed Yes22c337.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.133542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c318.58$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c315.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.92,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked No80c298.96$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.177945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes18c284.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1114116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes28c274$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c242.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes23c239.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1323022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065a…4147backed Yes24c231.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.131758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2728134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…f5febacked Yes17c227$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.393447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3913441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0769…c7ecbacked No79c216.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.873259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes18c205.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.837528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes17c205.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.885950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7736…877dbacked Yes18c205.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.567100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+112%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b62…2ea2backed Yes22c195.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.772669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Yes23c186.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.967255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x265c…dea2backed Yes18c186.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Yes17c185$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5512344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1406…b512backed Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.825933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.826233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd771…90a3backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9110248%49 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes23c169.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5711338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes18c161.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.116038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe76…8bb7backed Yes23c160$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.893432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…8631backed Yes17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Yes16c150$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.53627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11457252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0621133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed No8c141$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes23c138.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.151,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc61…bc17backed Yes23c126.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0911152.3%58 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No77c118.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2237971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.655326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes22c113.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6429338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes22c109.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0934646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.722337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.730928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.737526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b93…c58dbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes27c107.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3910617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2611526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes23c103.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5166745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8114842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7714427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829934.3%34 W · 65 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2412517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6db…5199backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.595525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+112.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34d0…9316backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+124.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.247929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cc…d826backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.964030%12 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9634526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.339436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes16c80$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.219944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Yes26c75.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8510614.2%15 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.