La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb2dfa84fc1b3f52d0377c15cc7cf0113e585ee7316f49143645a12fb34ad4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,582$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 727.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 679.62$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 61c | 491.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 64c | 392.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Yes | 59c | 376.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 344.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 36c | 337.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 56c | 282.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 233.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 57c | 176.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 154.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 145.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 42c | 125.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 58c | 119.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Yes | 54c | 101.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 85.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…e738backed Yes | 56c | 81.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 60c | 72.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 58c | 68.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8071…b139backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 60.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 60c | 60.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 56.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 55.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 45.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed No | 48c | 44.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 36.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 34.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 55c | 32.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 45c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 59c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 52c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 51c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 60c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.