TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Welsh Fireof Welsh Fire, Southern Brave
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Southern Brave18c33,665$6,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,206.5316546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Southern Brave23c23,485$5,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.2831543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…31e6backed Southern Brave20c15,892$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.112158.7%71 W · 50 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Welsh Fire78c11,463$8,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.8436445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037a…1202backed Southern Brave22c7,573$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.287146.5%33 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Welsh Fire78c7,309$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.0410863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712f…568cbacked Southern Brave9c7,132$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.091216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+172.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Southern Brave23c5,351$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.2718923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Welsh Fire79c2,464$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.4723033.9%78 W · 152 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Welsh Fire74c1,628$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.025046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Welsh Fire49c1,626$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.378350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Southern Brave50c1,513$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9949247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Southern Brave51c1,448$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.4545647.6%217 W · 239 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Welsh Fire69c1,443$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.896962.3%43 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b3…1fd0backed Welsh Fire80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe36f…1ef4backed Welsh Fire80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Southern Brave52c784.87$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.928749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Welsh Fire72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Welsh Fire72c726.75$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1519862.6%124 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e12…d0ecbacked Southern Brave4c694$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3913418.7%25 W · 109 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+106.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a2d2backed Welsh Fire73c643.35$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.359464.9%61 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Southern Brave34c617.39$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3414543.4%63 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f7…365fbacked Southern Brave27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Southern Brave8c588.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Southern Brave40c574.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.557248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Southern Brave47c555$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Southern Brave21c526.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6976351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Southern Brave47c515.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0764143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Southern Brave69c499.04$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.210346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Southern Brave46c496.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.15034%17 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Welsh Fire76c440.21$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1911659.5%69 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab2…4daabacked Southern Brave26c423.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a4…4917backed Southern Brave30c407.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.721315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5db…23e0backed Southern Brave16c400$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Welsh Fire70c399.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11820363.5%129 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Southern Brave21c388.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4365451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c2…2bb3backed Welsh Fire53c371.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Southern Brave22c368.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Welsh Fire78c346$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.643840.9%179 W · 259 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Welsh Fire76c328.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9512100%12 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Welsh Fire52c319.12$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.181250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Welsh Fire53c310.28$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.838925.8%23 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c7…b914backed Welsh Fire75c300$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0be…8d08backed Welsh Fire77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.519958.8%117 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Southern Brave47c299.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4912343.9%54 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8071…b139backed Southern Brave50c256.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.73333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdace…f42bbacked Southern Brave8c221$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb4…89b0backed Southern Brave18c217$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.113928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Welsh Fire77c209$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.063847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Welsh Fire40c208.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.117548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Southern Brave21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4129932.4%97 W · 202 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Southern Brave31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215940.9%65 W · 94 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…363cbacked Southern Brave23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510325.2%26 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Welsh Fire77c192.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9947061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Welsh Fire53c185.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4217943.6%78 W · 101 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Southern Brave28c179.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed Welsh Fire58c172.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.763938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Southern Brave29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.319427.3%53 W · 141 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Southern Brave46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.232846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Southern Brave10c161.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1827029.6%80 W · 190 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Southern Brave50c152.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.254953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Southern Brave15c150.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-80.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcccb…8590backed Welsh Fire70c150.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.285558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…1a4fbacked Welsh Fire70c145.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Southern Brave14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012948.8%63 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x287d…f29ebacked Southern Brave26c123.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326729.9%20 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Welsh Fire55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.182650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1baf…39d6backed Southern Brave46c115.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.075433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9104…c269backed Welsh Fire62c113.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6214070.7%99 W · 41 L+21.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Welsh Fire32c106.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.751020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-31.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Welsh Fire79c102.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7941947.5%199 W · 220 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef4…dbcdbacked Southern Brave49c102.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…6a2abacked Southern Brave27c102.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286246.8%29 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Welsh Fire31c100.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Welsh Fire80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick16cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Southern Brave16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.763745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Welsh Fire80c99.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Welsh Fire79c97.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Southern Brave41c97.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0838844.6%173 W · 215 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Southern Brave31c96.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c70…6a49backed Welsh Fire53c96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.125556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3386…8e59backed Welsh Fire55c95.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe57…53c6backed Southern Brave22c92.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205318.9%10 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Southern Brave38c91.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9220…c73fbacked Welsh Fire55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Welsh Fire55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0922647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ee…1c9bbacked Southern Brave21c88.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe74…3916backed Southern Brave47c82.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1736…3630backed Southern Brave16c82.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Welsh Fire30c82.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Welsh Fire78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.752065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf618…ba85backed Southern Brave24c79.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.246041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Welsh Fire72c77.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7810770.1%75 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c7b…c052backed Southern Brave48c71.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.492231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73fb…ed58backed Southern Brave46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Southern Brave49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee4…3c59backed Southern Brave18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb3…d689backed Welsh Fire55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274780.9%38 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Welsh Fire56c59.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.076558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Southern Brave50c57.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1937848.1%182 W · 196 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.