Fifa International · resolved market
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6af5f402e4c95ed013113c0f9c05b70f64cc30ad862ad5daf99bc926e223ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 69c | 6,314$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.29 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 69c | 1,906$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 1,888$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.91 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 1,377$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 69c | 1,086$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 30c | 1,022$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 31c | 965.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 30c | 864.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 579.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 29c | 541.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 71c | 493.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 394.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 29c | 339.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 70c | 289.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 70c | 279.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed No | 70c | 272$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ca…5168backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 69c | 156.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 30c | 131.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 123.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 20c | 116$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8071…b139backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 70c | 80.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…7d19backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…d2a1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 30c | 64.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 67c | 59.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…1cabbacked Yes | 30c | 48.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 31c | 45.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0595…52d5backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 36.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…88b9backed No | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 69c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsthis page
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ shotsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 3+ shotsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohammad Mohebbi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ shotsYes won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ shotsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ramin Rezaeian: 1+ goalsYes won
- Shahriyar Moghanloo: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.