Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc6b8c360dca970a41bc398d751346a78427017ba2c1b0c6e295b62d8a4041c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 8c | 60,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 7c | 29,714$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.19 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 6c | 17,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 8c | 13,361$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.88 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 7,023$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 7c | 5,488$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 7c | 5,278$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,950$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 7c | 4,877$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 3,349$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,158$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.75 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…635fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,889$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,467$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,321$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 8c | 2,311$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,249$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 8c | 2,199$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3c…a029backed Yes | 8c | 2,115$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 7c | 1,913$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…2c10backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 1,510$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,450$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,273$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…dbbbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…ff2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,209$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…6c65backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…96acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,088$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 12c | 1,011$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 952.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 5c | 949.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 900$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 5c | 876.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 824.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Yes | 9c | 792.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…d262backed Yes | 9c | 748.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 9c | 747.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 8c | 722.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…651dbacked Yes | 8c | 623.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 5c | 622.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed Yes | 8c | 604.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 3c | 580.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ffd6backed Yes | 8c | 567.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…85bfbacked Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…7d96backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 9c | 533.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 8c | 514.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…39f7backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…be49backed Yes | 12c | 497.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes | 7c | 485$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 8c | 478.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Yes | 8c | 471.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…d468backed Yes | 7c | 455.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…2f20backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 8c | 394.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 8c | 387.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…c5bfbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…99f6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…f270backed Yes | 8c | 365$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 7c | 326.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 5c | 323$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 9c | 315.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e601backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…83b5backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 8c | 311.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 8c | 303.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…67a2backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…6f17backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.