TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7865…4af9backed No34c15,200$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.924524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c12,120$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,271.9916045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes55c11,013$6,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,956.053324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes68c10,087$6,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes66c7,299$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.724461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c5,938$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.1875142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c5,749$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.123,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No38c5,294$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.171,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Yes44c5,166$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No34c5,010$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.842951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No33c3,925$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No55c3,800$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.83756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c3,600$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.875549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c3,472$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.291,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes66c3,312$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.134772.3%34 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c3,258$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.1548141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes67c3,181$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.634547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c2,571$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.6364043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c2,352$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.072,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes47c1,937$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.2110445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No33c1,876$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.073145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No33c1,670$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0329855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes68c1,552$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9820845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No48c1,504$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.127750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes67c1,463$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No35c1,458$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes40c1,435$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.066550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes65c1,336$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.649854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes53c1,105$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.73138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47010552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9910641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c983.32$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes68c811.32$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.623467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes65c801.71$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.66761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.391776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.39666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes68c721.18$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.782250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes69c713.07$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.448251.2%42 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes66c679.78$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No22c647.01$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.433234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked No4c630.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes64c612.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.495160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes68c610.51$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4117749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No39c582.93$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes59c555.12$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No60c541.68$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0114652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked No33c516.2$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.231020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c505.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.973935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Yes44c494$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes51c416.43$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No36c414.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8120645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes67c396.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c393$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1714315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked No43c390.11$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes67c365.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.715540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No35c331.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.518644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c323.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8449143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes55c312.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8211843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes67c310.84$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Yes66c299.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes67c299.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.976940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes67c297$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.931546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.935455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes54c295.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.972751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes68c294.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.569250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68fe…469fbacked Yes68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes67c281.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.043158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes66c268.43$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.275771.9%41 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes67c265.03$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3311751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec3c…d475backed Yes67c263.59$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.983100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No40c249.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3739857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed No37c242.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.811338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes66c232.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No32c230.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8463645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…4367backed Yes67c224.95$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes43c223.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.991675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes67c219.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.422751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes68c204.8$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.54875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…75b2backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes57c196.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes67c196.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6910251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes66c194.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.295651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes67c192.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes42c190.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No33c189.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.392948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.