Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa89c84f8c6e7cbad4a5f18e1844663ac60bc6bb2b645ce096973c35927bcc5d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 3,650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 2,425$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.43 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 419.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 14c | 285.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 228.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…8aa0backed Yes | 16c | 136.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 14c | 104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 14c | 99.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…cbb8backed Yes | 18c | 96.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…b7b5backed Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 14c | 76.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 71.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 18c | 58.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.