TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes13c14,231$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes12c14,087$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.477140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes11c6,971$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes7c5,625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes13c5,211$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0814428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes13c3,900$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5075717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes13c3,730$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9410537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes16c2,569$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4104522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed Yes13c2,422$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.872152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…2479backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes12c1,505$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.635229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c1,469$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Yes13c1,217$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558933.7%30 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43ba…fe72backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…3f20backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes12c1,002$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.226314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes13c981.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.595127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes12c830.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Yes13c761.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes13c681.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc457…971abacked Yes12c678.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes16c635.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes13c483$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.571,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes12c465.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6142336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Yes13c399.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffd…b85dbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes15c343.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…449abacked Yes7c255.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.882528%7 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.546319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes12c225$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277529.3%22 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3802…1a48backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5e…9266backed Yes15c205.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817f…01f4backed Yes12c199.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.892025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259743.3%42 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9622…c630backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc923…5f12backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b1…98fabacked Yes13c176.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe2…58babacked Yes14c176.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…066ebacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…f1dbbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef2…e7acbacked Yes13c129.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9b6…15cdbacked Yes9c124.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…3275backed Yes13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8071…b139backed Yes13c119.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…bf1ebacked Yes13c115.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5042…f786backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a59…e605backed Yes9c115.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.685736.8%21 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159231.5%29 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes12c103.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.449426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes15c102.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.395030%15 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…f103backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139235.9%33 W · 59 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked Yes13c95.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.733221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6664…de98backed Yes13c83.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6661…193abacked Yes15c65.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.