Fifa International · resolved market
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8d007d77c053fb08a8c913efd97dd5217c406577df017cc75d0729a677c2d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 1 wallet that holds a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 1c | 1,272$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 781 | 0.5%4 W · 777 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assiststhis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Konrad Laimer: 1+ assistsNo won
- Konrad Laimer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assistsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shotsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ shotsNo won
- Nico Williams: 2+ shotsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ shotsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 3+ shotsNo won
- Pedri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 1+ goalsYes won
- Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsYes won
- Pedro Porro: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 2+ shotsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
- Rodri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Romano Schmid: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.