TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes22c1,850$400 inLost-$40027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No80c1,277$1,022 inWon+$255.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c1,264$991 inWon+$273.612,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No79c499.99$395 inWon+$10512875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost-$1003189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No78c143$112 inWon+$31.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cc…d826backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost-$204030%12 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes22c87.51$19 inLost-$19.151,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes21c81.19$17 inLost-$17.052638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost-$156233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost-$1127242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Yes21c49.85$10 inLost-$10.475141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No75c25.57$19 inWon+$6.52,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No80c18.18$14 inWon+$3.721,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No74c17.31$13 inWon+$4.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.