Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646013f780b47b618be28062759f764f98bb027de6efdf68e721b42429c333a3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	25c	10,003$2,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.5	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	75c	5,555$4,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.75	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	75c	5,267$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.77	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	75c	1,016$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	25c	1,008$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	75c	950$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.5	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	75c	900$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	25c	885.54$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.31	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	74c	803$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.78	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes	27c	740$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No	74c	727.42$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.84	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No	76c	602.28$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.55	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes	24c	543.89$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.53	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No	73c	464.39$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.39	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+6.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	15c	299.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	17c	299.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes	25c	294.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	26c	250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	224	47.3%106 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	211	33.2%70 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ec…86bbbacked Yes	25c	199.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	66c	167.17$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.19	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	76c	124.17$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.8	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes	24c	122.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…6390backed Yes	25c	117.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.32	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	171	62%106 W · 65 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	75c	95.22$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	26c	95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13c…17c0backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	23cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3009…be46backed Yes	47c	78.66$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.86	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes	23c	78.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	80c	74.47$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.95	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67a9…a8d5backed Yes	27c	72.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No	75c	68$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	245	40.4%99 W · 146 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked No	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	79c	65.55$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes	27c	64.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	66c	60.46$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	26c	59.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes	25c	59.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	75c	59.17$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…3c36backed Yes	34c	58.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	72c	53.48$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	75c	50.77$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	114	38.6%44 W · 70 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	98	36.7%36 W · 62 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked No	75c	43.04$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.76	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Yes	25c	42.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8db…55e8backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc55…bdedbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd837…f512backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	63c	36.41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc0bd…28aabacked No	76c	31.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.58	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No	73c	27.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.45	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	77c	22.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.07	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	81	67.9%55 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsYes won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Konrad Laimer: 1+ assistsNo won
Konrad Laimer: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assistsNo won
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsNo won
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assistsNo won
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shotsNo won
Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ shotsNo won
Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goalsNo won
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goalsNo won
Marko Arnautovic: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
Nico Williams: 1+ shotsNo won
Nico Williams: 2+ shotsNo won
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
Pedri: 1+ shotsNo won
Pedri: 2+ assistsNo won
Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
Pedri: 3+ shotsNo won
Pedri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Pedro Porro: 1+ assistsNo won
Pedro Porro: 1+ goalsYes won
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsYes won
Pedro Porro: 2+ assistsNo won
Pedro Porro: 2+ shotsNo won
Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
Rodri: 2+ goalsNo won
Rodri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Romano Schmid: 1+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event