TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes43c65,659$28,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,014.057140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes42c25,424$10,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,797.9215843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No59c22,061$13,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,966.9446464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed No58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4006758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No57c19,000$10,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.9714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c12,600$8,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.464,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No57c12,000$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.9119252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No69c11,677$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.6112737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8df9…468cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.869627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No57c9,402$5,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.1213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No57c9,370$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed No57c8,777$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.2913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.9953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No56c7,400$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.3632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No57c5,888$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.849161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes43c5,340$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.231,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No57c5,309$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.9621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.994652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes43c4,536$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.486443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.876246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No56c3,768$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.2311440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes29c3,578$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.7410537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c2,829$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No57c2,727$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.611050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Yes32c2,633$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.556930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No64c2,579$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.212166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No57c2,400$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.9614139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes36c2,000$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No57c2,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9847032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes35c2,000$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9635229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9611256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9414860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c1,885$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes43c1,750$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.56222.6%14 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c1,707$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.882,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No71c1,700$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9918848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes31c1,625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes48c1,609$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.96407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No57c1,600$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9813447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes44c1,558$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69012958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes32c1,492$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes44c1,477$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes14c1,426$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes42c1,417$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.641,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Yes37c1,356$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes43c1,336$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.322,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c1,251$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.822,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…4ffabacked Yes43c1,232$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5168948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.986543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No70c1,160$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1810549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1354…19f7backed Yes2c1,144$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes44c1,139$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.226237.1%23 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ba…fe72backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No57c1,100$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47231171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9c8…1e91backed Yes46c1,081$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007028.6%20 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes10c1,061$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed Yes28c1,049$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.662744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes42c1,036$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked No58c999.99$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb81…7e34backed Yes43c973.33$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes27c941.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.857816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c908.66$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes33c881.9$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes37c813.34$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0419957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No58c789.49$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.584936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No56c776.94$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8511444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Yes33c769.75$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.978933.7%30 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No57c755$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.654057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes31c749.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No58c701.79$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…7714backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015246.1%70 W · 82 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes9c674.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c636.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19827433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes37c587.88$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes43c581.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes43c581.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes28c575$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes18c563.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Yes44c562.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.56749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…0487backed Yes39c561.54$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.713735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.