TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bf1…294fbacked No47c1,818$862 inLost-$862.3621051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked Yes50c1,002$501 inWon+$501.36162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Yes56c557.7$312 inWon+$245.399239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No45c288.25$131 inLost-$131.062,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Yes56c192.82$108 inWon+$84.845444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Yes55c150$83 inWon+$67.514839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes48c149.99$72 inWon+$7857252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed No50c106.08$53 inLost-$53.0431554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5898…b538backed No49c93.34$46 inLost-$45.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes51c70$36 inWon+$34.312058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon+$25.566446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon+$23.5717542.9%75 W · 100 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon+$21.314148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No50c32$16 inLost-$169858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes67c20$13 inWon+$6.6520036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.