TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$908,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$894,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under66c189,497$124,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,549.642774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c80,783$56,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,576.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c69,921$18,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,886.882,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over34c62,561$21,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,345.0577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over26c33,788$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,750.0321444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c28,563$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over35c28,072$9,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,696.342,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over36c27,356$9,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8484025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under66c25,326$16,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,683.9313742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over23c20,465$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over34c17,500$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,95074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over21c17,347$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.571,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over36c15,899$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,689.7177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under79c14,186$11,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.1966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c13,412$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c13,248$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over15c9,889$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.9139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over16c9,454$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over35c9,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under75c8,012$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under64c6,932$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.6615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over5c6,819$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c5,833$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over10c5,724$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over25c5,082$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.061,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under72c4,861$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.397943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Over34c4,750$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61511616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over24c4,456$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.7128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c4,395$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.261,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over4c4,257$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.616325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under68c3,611$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.2751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c3,483$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.842,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked Over4c3,350$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.153961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under65c3,333$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over16c3,229$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Under75c3,191$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.635335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under70c3,179$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.235166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8a…b772backed Under65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.924757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c3,040$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.871,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under78c2,967$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853c…d32cbacked Over34c2,949$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6714737.4%55 W · 92 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c2,890$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…c64abacked Over16c2,888$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over26c2,640$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.420731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c2,523$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.451,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under66c2,295$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1912341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c1,989$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over34c1,971$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.1736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over34c1,870$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under75c1,685$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over21c1,634$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.819848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c1,598$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under65c1,517$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.928749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c1,280$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under75c1,267$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.679466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c1,250$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.723,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over4c1,233$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over23c1,181$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.732,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over35c1,139$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over36c1,139$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over12c1,125$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over35c1,108$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.927560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under65c1,103$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0811555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over36c1,099$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39125737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over33c1,091$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over35c1,062$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37522951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over35c1,062$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37518051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under66c1,041$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8312647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over36c1,036$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.888723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4111641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Over36c1,021$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.567832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc870…eb46backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Over35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Under67c995.97$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.214436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under66c984.92$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8710356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under78c910.26$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2619957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Over33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c900$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.122,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over36c819.42$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9919746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under74c806.43$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4327951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.