TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under19c3,684$700 inLost-$70020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over75c3,547$2,668 inWon+$879.042,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c1,041$827 inWon+$213.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under38c876.54$333 inLost-$33382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Under50c638.98$321 inLost-$3213839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over79c395$312 inWon+$82.9527227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under21c389.87$82 inLost-$81.873,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bed…9fd6backed Under26c269.23$70 inLost-$705431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under18c250$45 inLost-$459330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over52c249.99$130 inWon+$119.511445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over60c197.7$119 inWon+$79.0841968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over79c145$115 inWon+$30.032,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c140.93$110 inWon+$31.22,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Under43c140.28$60 inLost-$607948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c124.51$67 inWon+$57.861,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under21c106.74$22 inLost-$21.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under19c105.26$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over63c97.7$62 inWon+$36.1532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over58c85.96$50 inWon+$35.9822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29cb…1cb7backed Under19c78.95$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+179.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under33c62$21 inLost-$20.5872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under19c54.58$10 inLost-$10.373,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c31.88$21 inWon+$10.622,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9239…0c62backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.324566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over52c19.59$10 inWon+$9.520561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5793…f9d5backed Over69c18.87$13 inWon+$5.843452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c13.54$11 inWon+$2.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.