Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05c072f246190e299298bbcb6c392f468251c0ae247a94a827f7d2ffafb196d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,802$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 3,179$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 29c | 2,108$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Over | 28c | 1,721$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 1,367$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 75c | 934.68$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Over | 30c | 907.68$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 29c | 750.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Over | 28c | 704.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 578.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 28c | 355$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 24c | 333.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Over | 30c | 328.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 25c | 244.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +10.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 210$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 202.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 173.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e19…d917backed Over | 29c | 168.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 156.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 75c | 131.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Under | 73c | 130.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Over | 28c | 125.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Over | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 73c | 95.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 18c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 29c | 69.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 71c | 69.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 77c | 68.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…cc7ebacked Over | 29c | 54.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 29c | 50.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 73c | 46.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 45.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 28c | 45.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d9ecbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 38.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 72c | 36.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 72c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 31.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 72c | 30.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 72c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 73c | 26.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…4e32backed Over | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 73c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.