TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes29c45,793$13,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2805628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c39,165$27,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,064.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes29c34,999$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No72c19,654$14,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.176142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes39c17,217$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,663.583655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes29c15,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3504841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dc…840bbacked Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c10,903$6,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c10,654$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4414,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c10,585$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.81,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No72c10,522$7,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.0610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes48c10,389$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9959246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No71c10,175$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.8918950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c8,990$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.221,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c8,368$6,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.061,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.4410962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes10c6,736$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.558531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c6,147$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.981,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No70c5,571$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.414146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45011346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c3,049$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c2,717$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.362,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c2,266$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Yes9c2,104$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed7…eb18backed Yes1c2,090$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c2,021$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.0972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No39c1,968$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.3942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes47c1,918$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No71c1,732$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes29c1,730$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.714943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes29c1,700$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49322125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked Yes7c1,629$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Yes67c1,449$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes33c1,419$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes28c1,236$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3467332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes69c1,045$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5703053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…4b46backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c999.96$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No71c999.95$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.985949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Yes65c992.03$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.821258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes11c942.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.251540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c896.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8919732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes28c756.54$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8314147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.294141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes29c704.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.454257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes54c672.22$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes42c640.48$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2697045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No71c625$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18130739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No34c591.18$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1814138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6d8backed Yes17c579.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked No73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.958100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No72c546.91$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.131464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes31c522.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5db…218ebacked No72c516.67$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes17c500$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes28c499.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8715350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c454.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes39c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.72025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c399.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Yes12c397$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8611255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c384$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes13c377.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes14c368.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1922534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes28c347.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2215257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…2078backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c331.6$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…9e02backed Yes28c325$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No41c320.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.991,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c7…e112backed No72c318.06$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes44c315.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1398145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9fd…8b78backed No72c315.28$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed No72c308.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No71c304.23$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ee…6602backed Yes66c300$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8418551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes67c296.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes7c296.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No72c295.83$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes5c294.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.716520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…6628backed No72c268.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No71c251.8$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6625551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ddc…fae1backed No72c229.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No71c225.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes7c221.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae59…c97fbacked Yes29c221.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.