Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b829b1de6f8bd6104bee062890538bbbaef7aec22da756e8fda0a4f8677bca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 59c | 47,319$27,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,918.42 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 41c | 44,743$18,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,398.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 59c | 22,099$13,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,038.22 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 41c | 20,358$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,035.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 80c | 17,923$14,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,314.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 17,675$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,428.01 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 16,787$6,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 14,572$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.73 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…840bbacked No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed No | 0c | 9,104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 7c | 8,848$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.09 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 8,637$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 8,515$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 7,479$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.64 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 59c | 6,195$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed No | 59c | 5,930$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 20c | 5,593$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.6 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 33c | 3,733$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.08 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 61c | 2,997$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.43 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 78c | 2,877$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 46c | 2,553$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.16 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 25c | 2,263$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 41c | 2,233$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.33 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 40c | 1,920$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 1,849$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,812$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.14 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 15c | 1,613$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.07 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 32c | 1,584$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.19 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 50c | 1,579$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.62 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 57c | 1,508$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.82 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,500$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,485$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 40c | 1,398$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 3c | 1,394$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.09 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 1,206$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.45 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,124$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 36c | 1,113$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.83 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 55c | 1,099$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.02 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 46c | 1,076$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.49 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 41c | 1,035$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.63 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 40c | 1,009$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 13c | 999.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 27c | 947.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 58c | 916.52$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 21c | 866$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.14 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 35c | 833.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 57c | 833.94$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.35 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 58c | 830$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 27c | 825.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.46 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 66c | 796.13$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.18 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 13c | 769.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Yes | 64c | 765$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 41c | 731.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 724.76$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 41c | 717.23$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.17 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 24c | 707.11$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.37 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 54c | 677$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 11c | 675.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 35c | 665.71$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 16c | 628.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 59c | 624.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 30c | 581.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 40c | 562.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 553.57$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 40c | 547.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 41c | 539.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 66c | 526.83$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 524.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 64c | 521$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 36c | 510.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 14c | 510.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 508$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.