College Football · resolved market
Arizona vs. Cincinnati
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba14696e017c01ecc53a49d1011e6a5fe6410e387c3282357660f939a25d7e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Arizona, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cincinnati | 67c | 44,905$30,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,086.38 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Arizona | 34c | 25,302$8,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,698.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati | 67c | 25,000$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cincinnati | 66c | 20,183$13,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,345.35 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati | 20c | 17,454$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.24 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati | 42c | 12,520$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.97 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Arizona | 45c | 10,286$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Arizona | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati | 51c | 8,874$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.15 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Cincinnati | 67c | 7,487$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona | 33c | 7,400$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.97 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arizona | 72c | 5,815$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.71 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cincinnati | 43c | 5,418$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.89 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona | 60c | 4,801$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.83 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati | 17c | 4,621$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.63 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arizona | 39c | 3,995$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.87 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cincinnati | 42c | 3,871$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.83 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati | 22c | 3,788$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.96 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona | 33c | 3,522$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.56 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cincinnati | 13c | 3,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cincinnati | 67c | 2,893$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.49 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona | 69c | 2,876$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.62 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati | 55c | 2,478$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.39 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Arizona | 33c | 2,227$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.76 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Arizona | 32c | 1,957$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.2 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arizona | 33c | 1,800$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.11 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arizona | 51c | 1,601$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.06 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arizona | 33c | 1,520$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.14 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Arizona | 50c | 1,465$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.74 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cincinnati | 66c | 1,452$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.27 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…a040backed Arizona | 31c | 1,328$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Cincinnati | 63c | 1,294$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.11 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Arizona | 33c | 1,198$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dd…b761backed Cincinnati | 71c | 1,130$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Arizona | 27c | 1,119$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.05 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati | 67c | 1,058$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.53 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Cincinnati | 70c | 1,036$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Arizona | 33c | 999.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.86 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Arizona | 33c | 909.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.7 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…1296backed Cincinnati | 48c | 899.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed Cincinnati | 67c | 850$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Cincinnati | 67c | 823.64$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Arizona | 30c | 746.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.78 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arizona | 32c | 726.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati | 47c | 717$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cincinnati | 66c | 714.64$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.45 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 32c | 638.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cincinnati | 67c | 535$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.45 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Cincinnati | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2101…d96dbacked Arizona | 33c | 450$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Cincinnati | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Arizona | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cincinnati | 67c | 438.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Arizona | 36c | 400$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…23febacked Arizona | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…9b8dbacked Cincinnati | 31c | 399.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Arizona | 41c | 389$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked Cincinnati | 64c | 388.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Arizona | 76c | 372.86$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Cincinnati | 30c | 328.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cincinnati | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…b05bbacked Cincinnati | 68c | 311.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…03b2backed Arizona | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Arizona | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Cincinnati | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Arizona | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cincinnati | 65c | 270.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…e0b4backed Cincinnati | 78c | 262.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arizona | 45c | 258.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Cincinnati | 24c | 256.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Arizona | 35c | 242$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Arizona | 60c | 237.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona | 44c | 212.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Cincinnati | 70c | 206.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Cincinnati | 67c | 203.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Arizona | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Cincinnati | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cincinnati | 67c | 185.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Cincinnati | 64c | 184.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Cincinnati | 68c | 181.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Cincinnati | 66c | 180$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…a6e2backed Arizona | 69c | 174.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cincinnati | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Cincinnati | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Cincinnati | 53c | 162.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Cincinnati | 19c | 160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cincinnati | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked Cincinnati | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cincinnati | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…baf3backed Cincinnati | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…de62backed Arizona | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cincinnati | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Arizona | 77c | 132.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Arizona | 37c | 121.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona | 34c | 111$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Cincinnati | 26c | 110.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona vs. Cincinnatithis page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati (-5.5)Arizona won
- Spread: Cincinnati (-6.5)Arizona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.