TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ec…ed1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT16461.6%101 W · 63 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$61.07
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$537.09
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$48.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$104.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.72
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$109.86
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$45.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.71
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69.88
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$28.98
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.11
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$38.67
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$44.04
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$104.03
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.34
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.84
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.62
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$50.32
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$53.84
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.96
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.59
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$33.96
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.89
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.06
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$59.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$41.28
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.81
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.12
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$225.86
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$217.64
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+45.2%+$32.74
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.18
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.6%+$7.38
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LAR vs. Panthersbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.7%+$74.07
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$211
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.1%+$106.54
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.6%+$237.35
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+32.7%+$112.79
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.2%+$82.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.99
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+118.2%+$45.4
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.22
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$20.91
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.35
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.2%+$143.2
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40%+$55.96
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$74.36
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-66.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
South Florida Bulls vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+27.8%+$44.98
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.