NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d8b2320152415b82a779fd84ceb4cfc19530b0d583329f5faa4b220fb34c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 44c | 99,356$44,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,161.64 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 77,384$41,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,921.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Ducks | 46c | 74,876$34,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,433.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 53c | 66,953$35,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,635.81 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 32,252$18,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,908.16 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 45c | 17,886$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,839.96 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Ducks | 41c | 16,000$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Golden Knights | 58c | 15,555$9,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,021.9 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Ducks | 36c | 12,385$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.17 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Ducks | 50c | 6,000$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Ducks | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks | 33c | 5,937$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.21 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Golden Knights | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 32c | 4,652$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 45c | 4,423$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.01 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 4,284$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.44 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 43c | 4,249$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.07 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,198$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks | 41c | 4,150$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.75 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,137$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.46 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 57c | 3,798$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.94 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Golden Knights | 57c | 3,501$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.35 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 3,385$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 44c | 3,298$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.04 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 45c | 3,007$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.77 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,918$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 51c | 2,812$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.09 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,690$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.13 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,445$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.74 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 42c | 2,107$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.91 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Ducks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 56c | 1,689$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,567$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.71 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.32 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…bb3fbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,484$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 34c | 1,468$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,416$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,375$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,320$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,318$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.48 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…c770backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,236$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Golden Knights | 59c | 1,234$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.98 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefec…2c4ebacked Ducks | 41c | 1,229$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2101…d96dbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,032$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Golden Knights | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Ducks | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ducks | 43c | 983.17$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.41 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Golden Knights | 57c | 884.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 31c | 844.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.8 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 43c | 820.08$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Ducks | 42c | 750$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 41c | 724$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Golden Knights | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Ducks | 29c | 686.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Ducks | 47c | 673.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.16 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 42c | 655$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.31 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Ducks | 28c | 649.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 622.82$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 50c | 615.11$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…bf61backed Golden Knights | 55c | 614.24$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…3b6dbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…f475backed Golden Knights | 55c | 566.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 45c | 555.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights | 55c | 526$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ducks | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…de95backed Golden Knights | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks | 43c | 458.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Ducks | 33c | 453.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.17 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Ducks | 43c | 423.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 59c | 396.18$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Golden Knights | 48c | 380.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…c1c2backed Ducks | 35c | 378.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 369.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.02 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Ducks | 35c | 363.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 355.57$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Golden Knights | 53c | 343.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 43c | 322.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Golden Knights | 51c | 308.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 58c | 304.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Ducks | 42c | 291.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ducks | 44c | 285.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Ducks | 44c | 279.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducksthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.