NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea47767c18456375543949837d6daaf2d87913b68f50df19e1cd697a6c701d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2cf…a6bcbacked Golden Knights | 34c | 27,400$9,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,316 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…66aabacked Ducks | 66c | 17,400$11,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…664bbacked Ducks | 66c | 10,500$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 37c | 5,364$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 63c | 3,953$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 64c | 1,985$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.6 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 37c | 1,873$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.75 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 63c | 777$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 63c | 686.29$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…f85bbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 645.32$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Ducks | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Ducks | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Ducks | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Ducks | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Ducks | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Ducks | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Ducks | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Golden Knights | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Golden Knights | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Ducks | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Golden Knights | 41c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Ducks | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Ducks | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Ducks | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Ducks | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Ducks | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Golden Knights | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Golden Knights | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Ducks | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Golden Knights | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Golden Knights | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Ducks | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Golden Knights | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Golden Knights | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Ducks | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Golden Knights | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Ducks | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Ducks | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Ducks | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Golden Knights | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Ducks | 79c | 38.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Golden Knights | 30c | 38.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Golden Knights | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Golden Knights | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Golden Knights | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Golden Knights | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Golden Knights | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…4fdfbacked Ducks | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Golden Knights | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Golden Knights | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Ducks | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Golden Knights | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Ducks | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Ducks | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksDucks won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.